Sport Picks
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Austria
Bundesliga Merkur-Arena, Graz 
AI Match Summary
Sturm Graz host Grazer AK in the Bundesliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Grazer AK have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Sturm Graz have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.89. Past meetings favor Sturm Graz slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 7, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Sturm Graz to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Grazer AK haven't matched Sturm Graz's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Grazer AK's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sturm Graz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sturm Graz scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Defensive concern: Grazer AK conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sturm Graz
(Home)Grazer AK
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:4 | 17 |
| 3 | LASK Linz | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 5 | Ried | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 7 | Tirol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 8 | A. Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:16 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 12 | Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | 3 |
