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Sturm Graz vs Hamburger

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gorenc Stankovic J.
45' Event
Chukwuani T.
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Sturm Graz and Hamburger finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sturm Graz
6%
Draws
4%
Hamburger
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturm Graz come out ahead of Hamburger on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sturm Graz taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 15%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz Hamburger
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Hamburger
2:1
Jul 30, 2014 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Hamburger
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorenc Stankovic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chukwuani T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Hamburger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 84 / 100
Hamburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz Hamburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Hamburger let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sturm Graz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS Hamburger
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
21 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 0
Hearts
15 Jul
Sturm Graz
1 : 0
Pogon Szczecin
11 Jul
Sturm Graz
5 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
08 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 1
SC Kalsdorf
03 Jul
Sturm Graz
2 : 2
FC Kosice
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Hamburger

(Away)
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2
Hamburger
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2
Freiburg
02 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2
Hamburger
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
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