Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sturm Graz vs Hartberg

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Sturm Graz Logo

Sturm Graz

0 - 0
FT
Hartberg Logo

Hartberg

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Vallci A.
60'
Sub
Mamageishvili G. In: Malone M.
Out: Mamageishvili G.
60'
Sub
Weinhandl L. In: Fosso R.
Out: Weinhandl L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sturm Graz
30%
Draws
43%
Hartberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sturm Graz have won more games recently than Hartberg.
  • Hartberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sturm Graz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 16%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz Hartberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
0:2
May 10, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
2:4
Apr 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 10 / 100
Hartberg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz Hartberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Hartberg has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sturm Graz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS Hartberg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 6

Hartberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LASK Linz 32 17 7 8 56:42 39
2 Sturm Graz 32 16 8 8 51:35 37
3 Salzburg 32 13 9 10 56:41 29
4 Austria Vienna 32 14 5 13 45:50 29
5 Rapid Vienna 32 12 8 12 36:41 27
6 Hartberg 32 10 12 10 40:40 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)