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Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz play Pogon Szczecin in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sturm Graz averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Sturm Graz won 0, Pogon Szczecin won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 25, 2024 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sturm Graz and 1.63 for Pogon Szczecin. This points to a Pogon Szczecin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sturm Graz
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sturm Graz demonstrates higher offensive output (2.25 avg goals) than Pogon Szczecin (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sturm Graz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 14%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin
1:6
Jan 24, 2020 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Sturm Graz
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 84 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz Pogon Szczecin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Pogon Szczecin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS Pogon Szczecin
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%