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Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sturm Graz and Pogon Szczecin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sturm Graz
30%
Draws
31%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Sturm Graz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pogon Szczecin have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.89 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin
1:0
Jan 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin
1:6
Jan 24, 2020 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Sturm Graz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 36 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz Pogon Szczecin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Szczecin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sturm Graz scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pogon Szczecin conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Sturm Graz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS Pogon Szczecin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
02 Oct
Sturm Graz
3 : 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
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Pogon Szczecin

(Away)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
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