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Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kobler E. In: Wienerroither K.
Out: Kobler E.
46'
Sub
Keutz J. In: Weber K.
Out: Keutz J.
46'
Sub
Deutsch P. In: Kustrin Z.
Out: Deutsch P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sturm Graz W
33%
Draws
27%
Salzburg W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sturm Graz W lately — more wins on the board than Salzburg W.
  • Win probability leans Sturm Graz W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 20%
Salzburg W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W Salzburg W
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
5:5
Sep 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kustrin Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Salzburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Krassnig T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lutz V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 40 / 100
Salzburg W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W Salzburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sturm Graz W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Salzburg W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Difficult form: Salzburg W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS Salzburg W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria Vienna W624058:862
2St. Polten W642072:1360
3Sturm Graz W611447:3538
4Salzburg W603337:4331