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Sturm Graz W vs Wolfsburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women Bundesstadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bogaert L.
46'
Sub
Zicai C. In: Bussy K.
Out: Zicai C.
62'
Sub
Lattwein L. In: Piljic K.
Out: Lattwein L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sturm Graz W
15%
Draws
57%
Wolfsburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wolfsburg W come out ahead of Sturm Graz W on wins alone.
  • Wolfsburg W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Wolfsburg W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolfsburg W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%
Wolfsburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W Wolfsburg W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 15 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.96 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Sturm Graz W vs Wolfsburg W
0:2
Sep 23, 2026 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wolfsburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogaert L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerim-Lindland A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 10 / 100
Wolfsburg W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W Wolfsburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfsburg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Sturm Graz W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Wolfsburg W let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Sturm Graz W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS Wolfsburg W
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz W

(Home)
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
13 Sept
Union Kleinmunchen W
0 : 4
Sturm Graz W
Page 1 of 6

Wolfsburg W

(Away)
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
SC Sand W
0 : 6
Wolfsburg W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Hoffenheim W
2 : 1
Wolfsburg W
13 Sept
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Minsk FK W 1
Agram Zagreb W 0
Fenerbahce W -
TBD -
Mitrovica W 0
FC Kharkiv W 5
Torreense W 9
Kolos Kovalivka W 2
Ajax W -
TBD -
Aktobe W -
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
TBD -
Sturm Graz W 7
Gintra Universitetas W 4
Sparta Prague W -
TBD -
Farul Constanta W -
TBD -
Spartak Subotica W 1
Brondby W 9
Sporting W -
TBD -
St. Polten W -
TBD -
TBD -
Malmo FF W -
Breidablik W 9
Miercurea Ciuc W 1
TBD -
Czarni Sosnowiec W -
RSC Anderlecht W 3
Feyenoord W 4
Radomlje W 1
Valerenga W 9
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 3
Liberec W 4
SeaSters Odesa W 1
Rosenborg W 3
HJK W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann W -
Hearts W -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad W -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
TBD -
Apollon Limassol W 1
Hafnarfjordur W 2
PAOK W -
TBD -
TBD -
Myjava W -
Hammarby W -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers W -
PSV W -
TBD -
Hajduk Split W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Final
Minsk FK W 1
Fenerbahce W 5
FC Kharkiv W 2
Torreense W 6
Ajax W 8
Aktobe W 1
Wolfsburg W 8
Sturm Graz W 1
Sparta Prague W 8
Farul Constanta W 1
Brondby W 6
Sporting W 3
St. Polten W 0
Malmo FF W 5
Breidablik W 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W 7
Feyenoord W 5
Valerenga W 3
Liberec W 4
Rosenborg W 5
HJK W 0
Brann W 6
Hearts W 0
Real Sociedad W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Hafnarfjordur W 1
PAOK W 3
Myjava W 4
Hammarby W 5
Rangers W 0
PSV W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 0