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Sua Flamingoes vs Black Lions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

Sua Flamingoes in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sua Flamingoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sua Flamingoes
6%
Draws
4%
Black Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sua Flamingoes lately — more wins on the board than Black Lions.
  • Model gives Sua Flamingoes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 20%
Black Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes Black Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Black Lions
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Black Lions vs Sua Flamingoes
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 85 / 100
Black Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes Black Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sua Flamingoes remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sua Flamingoes scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Black Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS Black Lions
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sua Flamingoes

(Home)
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
13 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Black Lions
06 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Morupule
25 Apr
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
11 Apr
BDF XI
1 : 3
Sua Flamingoes
Page 1 of 6

Black Lions

(Away)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Black Lions
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0
Black Lions
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
11 Apr
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0
Black Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaborone Utd30235262:1574
2Jwaneng Galaxy30178555:2359
3Sua Flamingoes30185744:3059
4Centre Chiefs30168637:1856
5Morupule301451141:3347
6Orapa United301211735:3047
7Township Rollers301361133:3345
8Nico United301012828:2542
9Tafic FC308111127:2635
10Matebele30891329:3733
11Police XI307111217:2932
12BDF XI30791430:4230
13Extension Gunners30781526:4329
14Black Lions30761717:3827
15Santa Green30642023:5822
16Calendar Stars30561919:4321
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