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Sua Flamingoes vs Black Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Sua Flamingoes in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sua Flamingoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sua Flamingoes
20%
Draws
28%
Black Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sua Flamingoes lately — more wins on the board than Black Lions.
  • Model gives Sua Flamingoes a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 20%
Black Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes Black Lions
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Black Lions
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Black Lions vs Sua Flamingoes
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 85 / 100
Black Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes Black Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sua Flamingoes remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sua Flamingoes scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Black Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS Black Lions
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sua Flamingoes

(Home)
19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1
Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
Page 1 of 7

Black Lions

(Away)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Black Lions
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0
Black Lions
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
11 Apr
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0
Black Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)