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Sua Flamingoes vs Morupule

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

Sua Flamingoes in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sua Flamingoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sua Flamingoes
39%
Draws
31%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sua Flamingoes lately — more wins on the board than Morupule.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sua Flamingoes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 20%
Morupule Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes Morupule
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Morupule
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Sua Flamingoes
0:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Sua Flamingoes
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Morupule
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Morupule
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 31 / 100
Morupule 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes Morupule

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sua Flamingoes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sua Flamingoes scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Morupule let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS Morupule
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaborone Utd30235262:1574
2Jwaneng Galaxy30178555:2359
3Sua Flamingoes30185744:3059
4Centre Chiefs30168637:1856
5Morupule301451141:3347
6Orapa United301211735:3047
7Township Rollers301361133:3345
8Nico United301012828:2542
9Tafic FC308111127:2635
10Matebele30891329:3733
11Police XI307111217:2932
12BDF XI30791430:4230
13Extension Gunners30781526:4329
14Black Lions30761717:3827
15Santa Green30642023:5822
16Calendar Stars30561919:4321