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SUBT vs Jong Holland

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Holland in this Promé Divishon matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Holland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SUBT
15%
Draws
45%
Jong Holland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Holland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Holland have won more games recently than SUBT.
  • Model gives SUBT a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jong Holland have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SUBT Clean Sheet 18%
Jong Holland Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SUBT Jong Holland
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs SUBT
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Promé Divishon
SUBT vs Jong Holland
1:2
Aug 21, 2022 Promé Divishon
SUBT vs Jong Holland
1:1
May 28, 2022 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs SUBT
3:1
Nov 16, 2021 Promé Divishon
SUBT vs Jong Holland
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SUBT 67 / 100
Jong Holland 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SUBT Jong Holland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUBT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SUBT's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Jong Holland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SUBT remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SUBT VS Jong Holland
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SUBT

(Home)
17 Feb
Scherpenheuvel
2 : 3
SUBT
20 Jan
SUBT
3 : 2
Salina
13 Jan
Jong Holland
2 : 0
SUBT
17 Dec
SUBT
0 : 3
Willemstad
10 Dec
UNDEBA
2 : 3
SUBT
Page 1 of 6

Jong Holland

(Away)
30 Jul
Arnett Gardens
7 : 1
Jong Holland
28 Jul
Jong Holland
3 : 0
BAYS
18 Feb
Victory Boys
0 : 0
Jong Holland
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
13 Jan
Jong Holland
2 : 0
SUBT
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)