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Suchitepequez vs Antigua

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Hernandez D.
47' Event
Castillo F.
52' Event
Mena J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2017/2018 game between Suchitepequez and Antigua finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Suchitepequez
20%
Draws
60%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Suchitepequez on wins alone.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 13%
Antigua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Antigua
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2018 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Suchitepequez
2:3
Feb 18, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Antigua
1:3
Oct 8, 2017 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Suchitepequez
5:0
Aug 5, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Antigua
1:0
Mar 29, 2017 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Suchitepequez
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 35 / 100
Antigua 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Suchitepequez found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Antigua conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Antigua's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Antigua
0 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
09 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
01 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
26 Jul
Suchitepequez
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
18 Jul
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Malacateco
06 May
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Antigua

(Away)
14 Aug
Antigua
0 : 3
Marathon
09 Aug
Antigua
2 : 0
Guastatoya
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2
Esteli
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1
Marquense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanarate 22 11 7 4 29:14 40
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 3 7 32:21 39
3 Guastatoya 22 11 5 6 27:18 38
4 Antigua 22 11 4 7 42:34 37
5 Xelaju 22 9 4 9 31:31 31
6 Siquinala 22 8 7 7 20:22 31
7 Comunicaciones 22 8 5 9 22:26 29
8 Petapa 22 9 2 11 27:33 29
9 Municipal 22 8 4 10 34:28 28
10 Suchitepequez 22 7 4 11 29:36 25
11 Malacateco 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
12 Marquense 22 4 5 13 16:39 17
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)