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Suchitepequez vs Aurora F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suchitepequez host Aurora F.C. in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Suchitepequez have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Aurora F.C.'s 1 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Suchitepequez slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.81) point toward Suchitepequez. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Suchitepequez
20%
Draws
65%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora F.C. lately — more wins on the board than Suchitepequez.
  • Model gives Aurora F.C. a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 11%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez
3:2
May 8, 2005 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Aurora F.C.
6:4
Mar 5, 2005 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez
1:0
Nov 6, 2004 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez
1:2
Sep 4, 2004 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Aurora F.C.
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 10 / 100
Aurora F.C. 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Aurora F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Suchitepequez's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aurora F.C. conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Suchitepequez stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Aurora F.C.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
16 Oct
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
11 Oct
Suchitepequez
3 : 3
Deportivo Mixco
05 Oct
Comunicaciones
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Aurora F.C.

(Away)
18 Oct
Aurora F.C.
3 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
14 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 15 9 2 4 28:20 29
2 Guastatoya 15 8 3 4 21:17 27
3 Municipal 14 7 5 2 20:10 26
4 Marquense 15 7 3 5 17:18 24
5 Deportivo Mixco 14 7 2 5 26:22 23
6 Deportivo San Pedro 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
7 Xelaju 15 6 3 6 27:20 21
8 Aurora F.C. 15 7 0 8 24:24 21
9 Coban Imperial 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
10 Malacateco 14 4 3 7 15:21 15
11 Comunicaciones 14 4 2 8 17:23 14
12 Suchitepequez 15 1 5 9 16:32 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)