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Suchitepequez vs Marquense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Icute M.
20' Event
Velasquez E.
41'
Cifuentes N.

AI Match Summary

Marquense in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Suchitepequez
30%
Draws
58%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Marquense have won more games recently than Suchitepequez.
  • Model gives Marquense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 12%
Marquense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Marquense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
1:2
May 6, 2018 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:1
Mar 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
0:0
Nov 5, 2017 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Sep 3, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Icute M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grande D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 14 / 100
Marquense 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Marquense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Suchitepequez stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Marquense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
05 Oct
Comunicaciones
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

Marquense

(Away)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)