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Suchitepequez vs Marquense

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suchitepequez host Marquense in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Suchitepequez have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Marquense's 0.97 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Suchitepequez have won 1 to Marquense's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 6, 2018, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.38, favoring Marquense. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Suchitepequez
30%
Draws
23%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suchitepequez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Marquense have won more games recently than Suchitepequez.
  • Model gives Suchitepequez a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 17%
Marquense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Marquense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:1
Mar 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
0:0
Nov 5, 2017 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Sep 3, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
3:1
Apr 27, 2017 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 41 / 100
Marquense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Marquense has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Marquense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Marquense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
09 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
01 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
26 Jul
Suchitepequez
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
18 Jul
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Malacateco
06 May
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
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Marquense

(Away)
08 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
1 : 0
Marquense
03 Aug
Marquense
1 : 2
Municipal
25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1
Marquense
04 May
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
30 Apr
Marquense
1 : 1
Xelaju
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Antigua 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Guastatoya 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Deportivo San Pedro 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Deportivo Mixco 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Xelaju 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
7 Comunicaciones 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 Aurora F.C. 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Malacateco 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
10 Coban Imperial 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Suchitepequez 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
12 Marquense 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)