Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sud America vs Cerrito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024 Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja, Minas
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mallet N.

AI Match Summary

Cerrito in this Segunda Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerrito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sud America
15%
Draws
59%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerrito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cerrito lately — more wins on the board than Sud America.
  • Win probability leans Cerrito's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cerrito here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sud America Clean Sheet 26%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sud America Cerrito
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Cerrito
0:1
Jun 6, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Sud America
0:2
Oct 7, 2023 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Sud America
2:1
May 20, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Cerrito
1:2
Oct 2, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Sud America
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sud America Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallet N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sud America 21 / 100
Cerrito 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sud America Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sud America scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Cerrito has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Sud America remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cerrito
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sud America

(Home)
16 Nov
Sud America
0 : 1
Atenas
09 Nov
La Luz
4 : 1
Sud America
02 Nov
Sud America
1 : 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 0
Sud America
12 Oct
Sud America
2 : 0
Cooper
Page 1 of 6

Cerrito

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 7