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Sudan U23 vs Kenya U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sudan U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sudan U23
30%
Draws
54%
Kenya U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kenya U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya U23 haven't matched Sudan U23's recent run of results.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sudan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sudan U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 23%
Kenya U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan U23 Kenya U23
Matches Played 14 7
Wins 4 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 0.71 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Kenya U23 vs Sudan U23
0:0
Mar 20, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sudan U23 vs Kenya U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan U23 37 / 100
Kenya U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan U23 Kenya U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan U23 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (14 games).

Defensive concern: Kenya U23 conceded in 57% of 7 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Sudan U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sudan U23 VS Kenya U23
0.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan U23

(Home)
25 Aug
Iraq U23
1 : 1
Sudan U23
28 Mar
Sudan U23
1 : 2
Niger U23
22 Mar
Niger U23
0 : 0
Sudan U23
18 Mar
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Sudan U23
30 Oct
Benin U23
3 : 1
Sudan U23
Page 1 of 3

Kenya U23

(Away)
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
21 Jul
South Sudan U23
0 : 2
Kenya U23
18 Jul
Djibouti U23
0 : 3
Kenya U23
26 Mar
Kenya U23
0 : 0
Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2