Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Panter E.
19'
19'
Pearce L.
(Penalty)
76'
76'
Panter E.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Sudbury and Kettering finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kettering.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kettering
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sudbury haven't matched Kettering's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Kettering taking it.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kettering have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 12%
Kettering Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sudbury | Kettering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Sudbury
6:0
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Kettering
1:4
Feb 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Kettering
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Sudbury
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Kettering
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sudbury Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kettering Compare
Top Goalscorer Panter E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Isaacson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sudbury 10 / 100
Kettering 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sudbury Kettering
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kettering Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Sudbury's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kettering let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Sudbury has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sudbury VS Kettering
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sudbury
(Home) 12 Sept
Ware
2 : 0 Sudbury
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1 Lowestoft
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3 Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0 Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1 Lowestoft
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
06 Apr
Sudbury
1 : 3 Needham Market
28 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 2 Alvechurch
14 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 4 Kettering
Page 1 of 3
Kettering
(Away) 03 Oct
Kettering
1 : 3 Worcester
29 Sept
Kettering
4 : 1 Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4 Kettering
22 Sept
Rushall
3 : 2 Kettering
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0 Quorn
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4 Kettering
22 Sept
Rushall
3 : 2 Kettering
05 Sept
Wellingborough
2 : 2 Kettering
29 Aug
Hitchin
1 : 1 Kettering
15 Aug
Leamington
0 : 1 Kettering
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
