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Suderelbe vs Sasel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suderelbe host Sasel in the Oberliga Hamburg. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Suderelbe at 1.9 goals for, 1.74 against; Sasel at 2.57 for, 2.43 against. Past meetings favor Sasel slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Sasel to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Suderelbe
30%
Draws
12%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suderelbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sasel lately — more wins on the board than Suderelbe.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Suderelbe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Suderelbe Clean Sheet 16%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suderelbe Sasel
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.9 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Suderelbe
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Sasel
0:2
Nov 29, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Sasel
2:2
Aug 11, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Suderelbe
3:1
Mar 15, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Sasel
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suderelbe 75 / 100
Sasel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suderelbe Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suderelbe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sasel conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Suderelbe found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Suderelbe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suderelbe VS Sasel
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suderelbe

(Home)
04 Oct
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Suderelbe
26 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 1
SC Victoria Hamburg
18 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
0 : 0
Suderelbe
11 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 0
HT 16
06 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 0
Suderelbe
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Sasel

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 2
Sasel
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
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