Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suderelbe vs VfL Lohbrugge

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suderelbe play VfL Lohbrugge in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. Suderelbe are favorites here. Recently, Suderelbe averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Suderelbe won 2, VfL Lohbrugge won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Suderelbe and 1.19 for VfL Lohbrugge. This points to a Suderelbe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Suderelbe
15%
Draws
29%
VfL Lohbrugge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suderelbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Suderelbe picked up more points recently compared to VfL Lohbrugge.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Suderelbe Clean Sheet 20%
VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suderelbe VfL Lohbrugge
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Suderelbe
0:2
Mar 5, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs VfL Lohbrugge
2:1
Oct 10, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Suderelbe
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suderelbe 54 / 100
VfL Lohbrugge 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suderelbe VfL Lohbrugge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suderelbe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Suderelbe & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suderelbe attacking → ← attacking VfL Lohbrugge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suderelbe scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

VfL Lohbrugge let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Suderelbe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

VfL Lohbrugge lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 23
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00