Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudtirol vs Bari

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
El Kaouakibi H.
23'
Pucino R.
39'
Maggiore G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sudtirol
30%
Draws
43%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bari come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sudtirol a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Bari arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 20%
Bari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Bari
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 36 / 100
Bari 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sudtirol scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Bari has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Sudtirol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Bari
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
Page 1 of 7

Bari

(Away)
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Bari 0
Sudtirol 0