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Sudtirol vs Pergocrema Prediction & H2H Stats

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Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tortolano E.
55'

AI Match Summary

Pergocrema in this Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pergocrema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sudtirol
30%
Draws
16%
Pergocrema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sudtirol at 1.2 per game, Pergocrema at 0.87.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Sudtirol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Pergocrema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Sudtirol vs Pergocrema
0:1
Sep 25, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Sudtirol
2:1
Apr 17, 2011 Lega Pro C1/A
Pergocrema vs Sudtirol
3:0
Nov 14, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Sudtirol vs Pergocrema
2:0
Dec 16, 2007 Lega Pro C2/A
Sudtirol vs Pergocrema
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Pergocrema Compare

Top Goalscorer Tortolano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 95 / 100
Pergocrema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Pergocrema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Pergocrema let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sudtirol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
02 Oct
Sudtirol
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Pergocrema

(Away)
06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1
Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3
Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0
Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1
Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 34 17 11 6 48:29 62
2 Trapani 34 17 9 8 57:42 60
3 Siracusa 34 18 9 7 46:31 58
4 Lanciano 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Cremonese 34 15 10 9 47:30 49
6 Barletta 34 12 13 9 43:38 48
7 Sudtirol 34 11 13 10 39:34 46
8 Carrarese 34 11 12 11 43:39 45
9 Frosinone 34 13 6 15 40:41 45
10 Portogruaro 34 9 13 12 40:45 40
11 Pergocrema 34 12 9 13 33:46 40
12 Fidelis Andria 34 9 12 13 37:38 39
13 FeralpiSalo 34 9 11 14 26:37 38
14 Prato 34 8 11 15 36:44 35
15 Triestina 34 9 8 17 43:55 35
16 Latina 34 8 11 15 37:45 35
17 Piacenza 34 10 13 11 41:49 34
18 Bassano Virtus 34 7 11 16 29:48 32
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)