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Sudtirol vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sudtirol host Sampdoria in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sampdoria have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Sudtirol have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Sudtirol slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.88, favoring Sudtirol. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sudtirol
20%
Draws
30%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sampdoria come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • Sudtirol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 20%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Sampdoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 85 / 100
Sampdoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sampdoria conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sudtirol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Sampdoria
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
02 Oct
Sudtirol
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)