Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2021 Marijampole Football Arena

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suduva 2 play FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Suduva 2 averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Suduva 2 won 2, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 24, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Suduva 2 and 1.05 for FK Kauno Zalgiris 2. This points to a Suduva 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Suduva 2

15%

Draws

35%

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suduva 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Suduva 2 picked up more points recently compared to FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Suduva 2 Clean Sheet 22%

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Suduva 2	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	8	10
Draws	2	2
Losses	20	27
Goals Scored	0.77	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2021 I Lyga

Suduva 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Jun 13, 2021 I Lyga

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Suduva 2

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gargalatzidis A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 2 49 / 100

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Suduva 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Suduva 2 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suduva 2 attacking → ← attacking FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva 2 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Suduva 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 32

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FA Siauliai	26	21	3	2	78:21	66
2	Jonava	26	21	3	2	71:24	66
3	Marijampole City	26	15	3	8	59:37	48
4	FK Panevezys 2	26	14	3	9	51:48	45
5	Zalgiris 2	26	13	3	10	63:52	42
6	Banga 2	26	11	6	9	46:43	39
7	FK Atmosfera	26	11	5	10	49:60	38
8	FK Babrungas	26	10	4	12	48:51	34
9	Riteriai 2	26	10	2	14	37:51	32
10	Neptunas	26	9	4	13	46:51	31
11	FK Minija	26	7	4	15	38:59	25
12	BFA Vilnius	26	7	2	17	34:68	23
13	Suduva 2	26	6	2	18	20:44	20
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	26	4	2	20	29:60	14