Sport Picks

Lithuania

A Lyga 2015 Marijampole Football Arena

Granitas Klaipeda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suduva play Granitas Klaipeda in the A Lyga 2015. Suduva are favorites here. Recently, Suduva averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Granitas Klaipeda averaged 1 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Suduva won 5, Granitas Klaipeda won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 25, 2015 ended 1:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Suduva and 0.88 for Granitas Klaipeda. This points to a Suduva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Suduva

20%

Draws

16%

Granitas Klaipeda

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Suduva picked up more points recently compared to Granitas Klaipeda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Suduva Clean Sheet 25%

Granitas Klaipeda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Suduva	Granitas Klaipeda
Matches Played	45	30
Wins	26	4
Draws	12	9
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	2.18	1
Goals Conceded	0.87	2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2015 TOPLYGA

Granitas Klaipeda vs Suduva

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:8

Aug 15, 2015 TOPLYGA

Suduva vs Granitas Klaipeda

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 26, 2015 TOPLYGA

Granitas Klaipeda vs Suduva

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Mar 23, 2015 TOPLYGA

Suduva vs Granitas Klaipeda

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Nov 29, 2014 TOPLYGA

Suduva vs Granitas Klaipeda

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kecap A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Granitas Klaipeda Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 63 / 100

Granitas Klaipeda 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Suduva Granitas Klaipeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (1)

Secondary Pick Suduva & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.6%

1.79

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suduva attacking → ← attacking Granitas Klaipeda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva scored in 80% of their last 45 games.

Granitas Klaipeda let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Suduva went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Granitas Klaipeda lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

90 Points in last 5 21

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zalgiris	36	31	1	4	104:25	94
2	Riteriai	36	27	3	6	92:33	84
3	Atlantas	36	21	7	8	65:34	70
4	Suduva	36	21	4	11	76:34	67
5	FK Kauno Zalgiris	36	13	6	17	47:74	45
6	Utenis	36	11	9	16	41:50	42
7	FC Stumbras	36	11	8	17	51:74	41
8	Granitas Klaipeda	36	6	9	21	37:83	27
9	Siauliai	36	5	5	26	37:94	20
10	Kruoja	36	4	8	24	23:72	20