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Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C.

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai host Buriram United F.C. in the Thai League 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sukhothai at 1 goals for, 1.2 against; Buriram United F.C. at 1.63 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Sukhothai have won 0 to Buriram United F.C.'s 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.42, favoring Buriram United F.C.. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sukhothai
6%
Draws
90%
Buriram United F.C.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buriram United F.C. lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Buriram United F.C. taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buriram United F.C. have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 17%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Buriram United F.C.
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 22
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Sukhothai
6:0
Dec 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C.
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Sukhothai
2:0
Feb 14, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Sukhothai
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 10 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Buriram United F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sukhothai scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Buriram United F.C. let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Sukhothai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Buriram United F.C.
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Buriram United F.C.

(Away)
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.00000:00
2Pathum United00000:00
3Bangkok Utd00000:00
4Chonburi00000:00
5Port MTI FC00000:00
6Chiangrai Utd00000:00
7Ratchaburi00000:00
8Ayutthaya United00000:00
9Prachuap00000:00
10Sukhothai00000:00
11Lamphun Warrior00000:00
12Pattani00000:00
13Uthai Thani00000:00
14Rayong FC00000:00
15Rasisalai United00000:00
16Sisaket United00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)