Sport Picks
Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 1 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai 
Match Events
14'
14'
Bissoli
(Penalty)
40'
40'
Bissoli
Assist: Zulj R.
45'
45'
Bissoli
Assist: Haiprakon S.
AI Match Summary
Buriram United F.C. in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buriram United F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buriram United F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Buriram United F.C. lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Buriram United F.C. taking it.
- Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Buriram United F.C. have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sukhothai | Buriram United F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.61 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Sukhothai
6:0
Dec 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C.
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Sukhothai
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sukhothai Compare
Top Goalscorer Nathan Palafoz
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.3
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Bissoli
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sukhothai 18 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sukhothai Buriram United F.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Sukhothai scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Buriram United F.C. let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Sukhothai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sukhothai VS Buriram United F.C.
0.6 Goals Scored 2.5
2.2 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sukhothai
(Home) 09 Oct
Ratchaburi
6 : 0 Sukhothai
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2 Ratchaburi
07 Mar
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 3
Buriram United F.C.
(Away) 10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0 Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Ayutthaya United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasisalai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
