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Stadium Background

Sukhothai vs Muang Thong Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thalay Luang Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Otton C.
14'
Panthong S.
33'
Saric M.

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sukhothai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sukhothai
30%
Draws
34%
Muang Thong Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sukhothai have won more games recently than Muang Thong Utd.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sukhothai taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Muang Thong Utd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 15%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Muang Thong Utd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Muang Thong Utd
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Sukhothai
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Sukhothai vs Muang Thong Utd
2:5
Feb 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Muang Thong Utd
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Sukhothai
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baggio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 35 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Muang Thong Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Muang Thong Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sukhothai scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Sukhothai remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Muang Thong Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
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3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423