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Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thalay Luang Stadium
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Match Events

62'
Sub
Chatthong S. In: Gildo
Out: Chatthong S.
69' Event
Lemdee B.
Assist: Wendel
73' Event
Gildo

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sukhothai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sukhothai
40%
Draws
29%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sukhothai lately — more wins on the board than Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:0
Mar 10, 2023 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Gildo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baggio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemdee B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 32 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakhon Ratchasima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sukhothai found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423