Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Sukhothai Logo

Sukhothai

3 - 0
FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya Logo

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Romeu
53' Event
Gildo
69' Event
Thumporn T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai in this Thai FA Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sukhothai
20%
Draws
38%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Sukhothai.
  • Sukhothai are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sukhothai, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 11%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Nong Bua Pitchaya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Sukhothai
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
5:2
Apr 29, 2023 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Sukhothai
1:1
Nov 19, 2022 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gildo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 40 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Nong Bua Pitchaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sukhothai found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Sukhothai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Away)
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1
Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1
Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Phichit United1
Udon Thani City0
Chiangrai Utd19
Sing Pathumthani0
Prime Bangkok1
Khonkaen FC0
Royal Thai Fleet FC1
FC ACDC0
Uthai Thani3
Kasem Bundit0
Chiangmai United2
Prachuap6
Pathum United4
Kamphaeng Phet0
Surin Sugar2
Ubonkids City9
Muang Thong Utd10
Romklao United0
Surat Thani City1
Lamphun Warrior4
Sukhothai3
Yala1
Thonburi Forest0
Nong Bua Pitchaya7
Burapha United0
Port MTI FC4
Bangkok Utd7
Samut Sakhon City0
Kanchanaburi4
Nara United0
Chonburi1
Police Tero2
Customs Utd3
Nonthaburi United0
Buriram United F.C.12
Warin Chamrap0
See Khwae City0
Pattani1
Cha Choeng Sao0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Samui United2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng0
Nong Khai FC0
Khonkaen United5
Bankhai United5
Nakhon Nayok0
Kasetsart1
Nakhon Pathom2
Ayutthaya United1
Udon United0
Roi Et 20182
Samut Songkhram City0
Siwilai0
Uttaradit FC2
Pattaya City1
Chiangmai FC0
Marines FC0
Sisaket United3
Mahasarakham1
Rayong FC4
Muangnont0
Phitsanulok1
Lopburi City2
Ratchaburi3
1/16-finals
Phichit United2
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok3
Royal Thai Fleet FC2
Uthai Thani0
Prachuap1
Pathum United10
Ubonkids City0
Muang Thong Utd0
Lamphun Warrior1
Sukhothai3
Nong Bua Pitchaya0
Port MTI FC0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Police Tero0
Customs Utd1
Buriram United F.C.5
Pattani2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Samui United1
Khonkaen United3
Bankhai United1
Nakhon Pathom3
Ayutthaya United6
Roi Et 20180
Uttaradit FC1
Pattaya City0
Sisaket United1
Rayong FC0
Phitsanulok1
Ratchaburi2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok2
Prachuap1
Pathum United0
Lamphun Warrior2
Sukhothai0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Buriram United F.C.4
Pattani0
Khonkaen United2
Nakhon Pathom0
Ayutthaya United3
Uttaradit FC0
Sisaket United1
Ratchaburi3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd0
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior2
Bangkok Utd1
Buriram United F.C.6
Khonkaen United0
Ayutthaya United1
Ratchaburi0
Semi-finals
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior0
Buriram United F.C.5
Ayutthaya United0
Final
Prachuap0
Buriram United F.C.1