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Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Auksornsri T.
42'
Baio B.
45'
Weidersjo W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sukhothai
15%
Draws
51%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uthai Thani lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 19%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Uthai Thani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani
2:3
Apr 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Chatthong S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Uthai Thani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 36 / 100
Uthai Thani 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Uthai Thani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Sukhothai scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sukhothai remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Uthai Thani
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
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Uthai Thani

(Away)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)