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Sul America vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2022 game between Sul America and Unidos do Alvorada finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unidos do Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sul America
6%
Draws
4%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sul America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sul America haven't matched Unidos do Alvorada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sul America's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sul America Clean Sheet 17%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sul America Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 3.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2023 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs Sul America
2:0
Sep 9, 2022 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sul America 84 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sul America Unidos do Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Unidos do Alvorada conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Unidos do Alvorada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sul America VS Unidos do Alvorada
3.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sul America

(Home)
21 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
3 : 2
Sul America
13 Jun
Sul America
3 : 2
Cliper
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
02 Jun
Sul America
0 : 2
Itacoatiara
14 Sept
Sete FC
3 : 2
Sul America
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Unidos do Alvorada

(Away)
15 Jun
Penarol
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
06 Jun
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 1
Manicore
01 Jun
Taruma
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
23 May
Unidos do Alvorada
1 : 0
RB do Norte
03 Apr
Manaus FC
4 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2022 (Play Offs)