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Sumare vs Mauaense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Sumare Logo

Sumare

1 - 2
FT
Mauaense Logo

Mauaense

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Sumare and Mauaense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mauaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sumare
20%
Draws
64%
Mauaense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mauaense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Mauaense taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sumare Clean Sheet 20%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumare Mauaense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Mauaense
1:2
Aug 18, 2012 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Sumare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumare 10 / 100
Mauaense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumare Mauaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauaense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Mauaense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sumare scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mauaense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumare

(Home)
21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5
Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1
Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1
Sumare
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Mauaense

(Away)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)