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Stadium Background

Sumare vs Olimpia FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia FC in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sumare
15%
Draws
0%
Olimpia FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sumare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sumare lately — more wins on the board than Olimpia FC.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sumare taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sumare Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumare Olimpia FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2014 Paulista A4
Olimpia FC vs Sumare
2:1
Jul 20, 2014 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Olimpia FC
0:2
Aug 5, 2012 Paulista A4
Olimpia FC vs Sumare
0:1
Jul 14, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Olimpia FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumare 67 / 100
Olimpia FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumare Olimpia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia FC let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Olimpia FC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sumare scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olimpia FC
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumare

(Home)
21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5
Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1
Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1
Sumare
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia FC

(Away)
21 Jun
Tanabi
5 : 0
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Olimpia FC
1 : 4
Tupa
08 Jun
Santacruzense
4 : 1
Olimpia FC
25 May
Olimpia FC
1 : 2
Assisense
18 May
Olimpia FC
0 : 3
Tanabi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Guaruja 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 3 1 2 8:4 10
4 Manthiqueira 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 3 2 1 7:7 11
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
3 Sumare 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Jabaquara 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 SKA Brasil 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
3 Americo EC 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
4 Atletico Mogi 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupa 6 4 1 1 6:5 13
2 Mauaense 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Primavera EC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Guariba 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional SP 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Cotia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Desportivo 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
2 Sao Vicente 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 SC Barueri 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Pirassununguense 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams