Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SumQayit FK 2 vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mahmudov K.
58' Event
Aghayev N.
Own Goal
65' Event

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between SumQayit FK 2 and Lokbatan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SumQayit FK 2
11%
Draws
9%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lokbatan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on SumQayit FK 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 Lokbatan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Lokbatan
1:3
Oct 18, 2022 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs SumQayit FK 2
0:0
Feb 15, 2022 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs SumQayit FK 2
0:0
Sep 15, 2021 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Lokbatan
0:2
Apr 8, 2021 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Lokbatan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahmudov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhtarly C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 76 / 100
Lokbatan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lokbatan conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

SumQayit FK 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lokbatan
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
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Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)