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SumQayit FK 2 vs MOIK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Allahverdiyev I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

MOIK Baku in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SumQayit FK 2
30%
Draws
34%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • MOIK Baku have won more games recently than SumQayit FK 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SumQayit FK 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MOIK Baku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 20%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 MOIK Baku
Matches Played 32 47
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 12
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs MOIK Baku
0:1
Oct 5, 2022 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs SumQayit FK 2
1:3
Apr 26, 2022 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs SumQayit FK 2
2:0
Nov 30, 2021 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs MOIK Baku
0:3
May 7, 2021 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs SumQayit FK 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 36 / 100
MOIK Baku 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MOIK Baku conceded in 81% of 47 recent games.

SumQayit FK 2 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: SumQayit FK 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS MOIK Baku
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 7

MOIK Baku

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)