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SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Soltanov B.
74' Event
Abbaszade J.
88' Event
Badirov K.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between SumQayit FK 2 and Sabail 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabail 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SumQayit FK 2
20%
Draws
38%
Sabail 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabail 2 come out ahead of SumQayit FK 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives SumQayit FK 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 Sabail 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2
1:2
Oct 26, 2022 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
2:2
Apr 13, 2022 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
0:1
Nov 18, 2021 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2
4:1
Dec 9, 2019 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbaszade J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltanov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badirov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 40 / 100
Sabail 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 Sabail 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sabail 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SumQayit FK 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK 2 VS Sabail 2
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
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Sabail 2

(Away)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)