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SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Soltanov B.
74' Event
Abbaszade J.
88' Event
Badirov K.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between SumQayit FK 2 and Sabail 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabail 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SumQayit FK 2
20%
Draws
38%
Sabail 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabail 2 come out ahead of SumQayit FK 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives SumQayit FK 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 Sabail 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2
1:2
Oct 26, 2022 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
2:2
Apr 13, 2022 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
0:1
Nov 18, 2021 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2
4:1
Dec 9, 2019 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Sabail 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbaszade J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltanov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badirov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 40 / 100
Sabail 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 Sabail 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sabail 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SumQayit FK 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK 2 VS Sabail 2
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
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Sabail 2

(Away)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
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