Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SumQayit FK vs Qarabag Agdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
SumQayit FK Logo

SumQayit FK

0 - 1
FT
Qarabag Agdam Logo

Qarabag Agdam

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Lobato S.
31'
Kady Borges
45' Event
Mouaddib J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between SumQayit FK and Qarabag Agdam finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
SumQayit FK
30%
Draws
58%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Qarabag Agdam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Qarabag Agdam's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Qarabag Agdam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 20%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
May 22, 2026 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Qarabag Agdam
3:4
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Qarabag Agdam
2:4
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs SumQayit FK
0:1
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs SumQayit FK
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 28 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

SumQayit FK scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Qarabag Agdam has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

SumQayit FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK VS Qarabag Agdam
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4
Twente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)