Sport Picks
SumQayit FK vs Qarabag Agdam
Azerbaijan
Premier League 2025/2026 Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between SumQayit FK and Qarabag Agdam finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of SumQayit FK on wins alone.
- SumQayit FK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Qarabag Agdam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SumQayit FK | Qarabag Agdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 36 |
| Wins | 11 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SumQayit FK Compare
Qarabag Agdam Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: SumQayit FK scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Qarabag Agdam let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.
SumQayit FK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SumQayit FK
(Home)Qarabag Agdam
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag Agdam | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz PFK | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | 46 |
| 7 | SumQayit FK | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | 27 |
| 11 | Gabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | 15 |