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SumQayit FK vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SumQayit FK host Sabah Baku in the Premier League. This has Sabah Baku written all over it on paper. SumQayit FK have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Sabah Baku's 2 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, SumQayit FK have won 0 to Sabah Baku's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.75, favoring Sabah Baku. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
SumQayit FK
30%
Draws
43%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • SumQayit FK haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 12%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK Sabah Baku
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs SumQayit FK
3:1
Dec 22, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Sabah Baku
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs SumQayit FK
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Sabah Baku
3:3
Feb 27, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
SumQayit FK vs Sabah Baku
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 27 / 100
Sabah Baku 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SumQayit FK's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SumQayit FK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK VS Sabah Baku
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK

(Home)
16 Oct
SumQayit FK
2 : 1
Araz PFK
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1
Gabala
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
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Sabah Baku

(Away)
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)