Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sumsel United vs Garudayaksa

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Berlian A.
41'
Hutagalung A.
46'
Sub
Lee Yu-jun In: Darmawan T.
Out: Lee Yu-jun

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Sumsel United and Garudayaksa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sumsel United
30%
Draws
47%
Garudayaksa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Garudayaksa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Garudayaksa come out ahead of Sumsel United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Garudayaksa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sumsel United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
Garudayaksa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumsel United Garudayaksa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.45 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Garudayaksa
1:0
Jan 30, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Garudayaksa
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Championship
Garudayaksa vs Sumsel United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumsel United 18 / 100
Garudayaksa 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumsel United Garudayaksa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garudayaksa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumsel United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Garudayaksa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sumsel United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sumsel United VS Garudayaksa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumsel United

(Home)
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2
PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0
Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

Garudayaksa

(Away)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2
Persik Kediri
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)