Sport Picks
Sumsel United vs Persekat Tegal
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hidayat R.
Assist: Darmawan T.
16'
16'
Pramana N. A.
Assist: Damara F.
27'
27'
Juninho
Assist: Dall'Oca
AI Match Summary
Sumsel United in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumsel United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sumsel United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sumsel United lately — more wins on the board than Persekat Tegal.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sumsel United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 16%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumsel United | Persekat Tegal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persekat Tegal
3:1
Jan 3, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Sumsel United
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persekat Tegal
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Hidayat R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Juninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Persekat Tegal Compare
Top Goalscorer Pramana N. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumsel United 30 / 100
Persekat Tegal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumsel United Persekat Tegal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sumsel United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Persekat Tegal conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Sumsel United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sumsel United VS Persekat Tegal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumsel United
(Home) 19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
28 Feb
Sumsel United
3 : 0 Sriwijaya
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Persekat Tegal
(Away) 08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
06 Apr
Bekasi City
1 : 1 Persekat Tegal
27 Mar
Persikad Depok
4 : 1 Persekat Tegal
14 Feb
Garudayaksa
2 : 1 Persekat Tegal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
