Sport Picks
Sumsel United vs PSMS Medan
Indonesia
Championship Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
6'
6'
Phillerson
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Siverio J.
Assist: Jauhari I.
37'
37'
Gilberto
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Sumsel United and PSMS Medan finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSMS Medan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- PSMS Medan have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Sumsel United are scoring more at 1.45.
- Model gives Sumsel United a 29% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 68%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSMS Medan
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United
3:1
Nov 24, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Firdaus F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mochizuki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Siverio J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumsel United 86 / 100
PSMS Medan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumsel United PSMS Medan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: PSMS Medan conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Sumsel United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sumsel United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sumsel United VS PSMS Medan
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumsel United
(Home) 26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
Page 1 of 4
PSMS Medan
(Away) 27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persikad Depok | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Semen Padang | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 | PSPS Riau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | PSIS Semarang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | PSGC Ciamis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Bekasi City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Sumsel United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 9 | Persiraja Aceh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 8 |
| 3 | Persis Solo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | PS Barito Putera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 6 | RANS Nusantara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Dejan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Persipura Jayapura | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:18 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
