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Sun Hei vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Eastern AA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sun Hei
15%
Draws
49%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern AA come out ahead of Sun Hei on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sun Hei taking it.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sun Hei Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2014 FA Cup
Sun Hei vs Eastern AA
0:1
Feb 13, 2009 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Sun Hei
3:4
Sep 26, 2008 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Eastern AA
4:0
Dec 15, 2007 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Eastern AA
1:1
Sep 8, 2007 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Sun Hei
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sun Hei 85 / 100
Eastern AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sun Hei Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sun Hei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sun Hei scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Eastern AA let in goals in 73% of their last 44 matches.

Eastern AA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sun Hei

(Home)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
Page 1 of 6

Eastern AA

(Away)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Southern District 1
Citizen 0
Sun Hei 0
Eastern AA 1
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Yuen Long 0
South China 0
Kitchee 1
Semi-finals
Southern District 1
Eastern AA 2
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Kitchee 2
Final
Eastern AA 1
Kitchee 0