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Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sun Hei
15%
Draws
0%
Tuen Mun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sun Hei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sun Hei come out ahead of Tuen Mun on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sun Hei taking it.
  • Sun Hei have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tuen Mun, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 20%
Tuen Mun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sun Hei Tuen Mun
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2013 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun
2:1
Mar 4, 2012 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun
1:2
Dec 24, 2011 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun
2:2
Dec 11, 2011 Senior Shield
Tuen Mun vs Sun Hei
0:1
Sep 17, 2011 Premier League
Tuen Mun vs Sun Hei
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sun Hei 40 / 100
Tuen Mun 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sun Hei Tuen Mun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sun Hei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tuen Mun conceded in 95% of 20 recent games.

Difficult form: Tuen Mun registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sun Hei scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sun Hei VS Tuen Mun
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sun Hei

(Home)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
Page 1 of 6

Tuen Mun

(Away)
22 Dec
Tuen Mun
1 : 2
Dreams Metro Gallery
15 Dec
South China
1 : 0
Tuen Mun
30 Nov
Tuen Mun
0 : 5
Kitchee
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
26 Oct
Pegasus
6 : 0
Tuen Mun
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tuen Mun 3
King Fung Football Club 0
TBD -
Citizen -
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Sun Hei -
Pegasus 2
Kitchee 1
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Sham Shui Po -
TBD -
TBD -
South China -
Quarter-finals
Tuen Mun 4
Citizen 3
Tai Po 2
Sun Hei 4
Pegasus 9
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Sham Shui Po 2
South China 3
Semi-finals
Tuen Mun 2
Sun Hei 3
Pegasus 2
South China 3
Final
Sun Hei 2
South China 1