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Sundby vs Avarta

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lundqvist G.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Sundby and Avarta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sundby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sundby
15%
Draws
34%
Avarta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avarta haven't matched Sundby's recent run of results.
  • Sundby are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sundby have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sundby Clean Sheet 68%
Avarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby Avarta
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.54 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 3rd Division
Avarta vs Sundby
1:1
May 14, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Avarta
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 3rd Division
Avarta vs Sundby
1:2
Oct 4, 2024 3rd Division
Sundby vs Avarta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundqvist G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Avarta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby 50 / 100
Avarta 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby Avarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sundby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

Avarta has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sundby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sundby VS Avarta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundby

(Home)
26 Sept
BK Frem
0 : 3
Sundby
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
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Avarta

(Away)
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
04 Aug
Gentofte-Vangede
0 : 2
Avarta
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
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