Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sundby W vs ASA Aarhus W

Denmark Denmark

1. Division Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sundby W play ASA Aarhus W in the 1. Division Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sundby W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. ASA Aarhus W averaged 2.84 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Sundby W won 1, ASA Aarhus W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Sundby W and 1.50 for ASA Aarhus W. This points to a ASA Aarhus W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sundby W
15%
Draws
54%
ASA Aarhus W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASA Aarhus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Sundby W picked up more points recently compared to ASA Aarhus W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Sundby W Clean Sheet 16%
ASA Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby W ASA Aarhus W
Matches Played 32 49
Wins 12 32
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.84
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2024 B-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Sundby W
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 B-Liga Women
Sundby W vs ASA Aarhus W
3:2
Oct 22, 2023 B-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Sundby W
1:0
Aug 27, 2023 B-Liga Women
Sundby W vs ASA Aarhus W
0:6
Nov 20, 2021 B-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Sundby W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby W 31 / 100
ASA Aarhus W 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby W ASA Aarhus W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Aarhus W Win (2)
Secondary Pick ASA Aarhus W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sundby W attacking → ← attacking ASA Aarhus W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby W scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

ASA Aarhus W let in goals in 71% of their last 49 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Sundby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASA Aarhus W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 102
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vildbjerg W1080233:1124
2Varde W1061323:1819
3ASA Aarhus W1060426:1818
4Solrod FC W1041521:2613
5Sundby W1041514:2013
6BSF W100195:291