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Sunderland U21 vs Nottingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
(Penalty)
14'
Nwosu C.
46'
Sub
Newton J. In: Powell J.
Out: Newton J.

AI Match Summary

Sunderland U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunderland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sunderland U21
15%
Draws
51%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunderland U21 haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U21 Nottingham U21
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Nottingham U21
5:1
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:6
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Whittaker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U21 30 / 100
Nottingham U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U21 Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U21's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Nottingham U21 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Sunderland U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U21 VS Nottingham U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0
Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3
Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
4 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
5 Sunderland U21 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
22 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
23 Arsenal U21 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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