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Sunderland U21 vs Watford U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Geragusian F.
75' Event
Campbell L.
Assist: Neill M.
83' Event
Campbell L.
Assist: Jones J.

AI Match Summary

Sunderland U21 in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sunderland U21
35%
Draws
32%
Watford U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Watford U21 average 2.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Sunderland U21's 2.21.
  • Model gives Watford U21 a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sunderland U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Watford U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U21 Watford U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.21 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Watford U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Geragusian F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Watford U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.9
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U21 26 / 100
Watford U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U21 Watford U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watford U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U21's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Watford U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sunderland U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U21 VS Watford U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1
Jong PSV
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1
Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 6

Watford U21

(Away)
24 Apr
Everton U21
3 : 2
Watford U21
20 Apr
Watford U21
3 : 1
Charlton U21
14 Apr
Huddersfield U21
1 : 1
Watford U21
10 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Watford U21
27 Mar
Watford U21
6 : 0
Coventry U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2