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Sunderland U23 vs Leeds U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Jessup C.
41' Event
Summerville C.
55' Event
Kachosa E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sunderland U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sunderland U23
20%
Draws
40%
Leeds U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leeds U23 come out ahead of Sunderland U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Leeds U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sunderland U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U23 Leeds U23
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2022 Premier League Cup
Leeds U23 vs Sunderland U23
3:3
Oct 10, 2021 Premier League Cup
Sunderland U23 vs Leeds U23
2:1
Feb 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Sunderland U23
2:0
Sep 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Leeds U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jessup C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kachosa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Summerville C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U23 34 / 100
Leeds U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U23 Leeds U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Sunderland U23's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Leeds U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U23 VS Leeds U23
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U23

(Home)
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 7

Leeds U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)