Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunderland U23 vs Stoke City U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland
Sunderland U23 Logo

Sunderland U23

0 - 3
FT
Stoke City U23 Logo

Stoke City U23

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tezgel E.
Assist: Sparrow T.
18'
Malone D.
29' Event
James-Taylor D.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stoke City U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sunderland U23
20%
Draws
51%
Stoke City U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stoke City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunderland U23 haven't matched Stoke City U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stoke City U23 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sunderland U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U23 Stoke City U23
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2022 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Stoke City U23
0:3
Nov 7, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Sunderland U23
2:2
May 17, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Sunderland U23
0:2
May 10, 2021 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Stoke City U23
1:1
May 3, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Sunderland U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tezgel E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James-Taylor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U23 22 / 100
Stoke City U23 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U23 Stoke City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U23's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stoke City U23 let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sunderland U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U23 VS Stoke City U23
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U23

(Home)
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)