Sport Picks

Sunderland vs Brentford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Cup Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Brentford

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sunderland at 1.27 goals for, 1.53 against; Brentford at 1.96 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Sunderland have won 1 to Brentford's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.81) back Brentford to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Sunderland

30%

Draws

47%

Brentford

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brentford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Sunderland lately — more wins on the board than Brentford.
47% — that's where the model lands on Brentford taking it.
Sunderland have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Brentford, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sunderland Clean Sheet 11%

Brentford Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sunderland	Brentford
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	5	12
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.27	1.96
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League

Brentford vs Sunderland

1:1

Jan 7, 2026 Premier League

Brentford vs Sunderland

3:0

Aug 30, 2025 Premier League

Sunderland vs Brentford

2:1

Feb 17, 2018 Championship

Sunderland vs Brentford

0:2

Oct 21, 2017 Championship

Brentford vs Sunderland

3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 22 / 100

Brentford 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sunderland Brentford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sunderland found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Brentford conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Sunderland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Brentford

1.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)

22 Oct

Lech Poznan

1 : 1

Sunderland

18 Oct

Bournemouth

2 : 0

Sunderland

15 Oct

Torreense

1 : 2

Sunderland

10 Oct

Sunderland

0 : 2

Brighton

20 Sept

Manchester City

5 : 3

Sunderland

Page 1 of 6

Brentford

(Away)

17 Oct

Brentford

1 : 2

Liverpool

10 Oct

Aston Villa

2 : 2

Brentford

18 Sept

Brentford

3 : 0

Chelsea

15 Sept

Reading

1 : 2

Brentford

12 Sept

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Brentford

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

TBD -

Arsenal -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

1/32-finals

Fleetwood Town 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield Utd 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

TBD -

Arsenal -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wed 0

Wolves 2

Cambridge Utd 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle Utd 3

West Brom 2

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 1

Hull City 2

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham 0

Leeds 2

Walsall 0

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 1

Burnley 0

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

TBD -

Aston Villa -

1/16-finals

Fleetwood Town 1

Sheffield Utd 0

Ipswich 2

Arsenal 4

Manchester City 5

Norwich 0

Manchester United 2

Brighton 3

Everton 1

Wolves 0

Millwall 0

Newcastle Utd 1

Sunderland 1

Hull City 0

Reading 1

Brentford 2

Liverpool 3

Tottenham 1

Chelsea 6

Leeds 3

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 3

Peterborough 4

Barnsley 3

West Ham 2

Fulham 3

Crystal Palace 3

Middlesbrough 0

Bournemouth 4

Lincoln City 0

Coventry 1

Aston Villa 3

1/8-finals

Fleetwood Town -

Arsenal -

Manchester City -

Brighton -

Everton -

Newcastle Utd -

Sunderland -

Brentford -

Liverpool -

Chelsea -

Bradford City -

Peterborough -

Fulham -

Crystal Palace -

Bournemouth -

Aston Villa -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Sunderland vs Brentford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Sunderland

Brentford

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

Brentford

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA