Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunderland vs Brighton

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Rigg C.
51'
Gomez D.
58' Event
Minteh Y.

AI Match Summary

Brighton in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sunderland
11%
Draws
9%
Brighton
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Brighton haven't matched Sunderland's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sunderland a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 68%
Brighton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland Brighton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Brighton
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Sunderland
0:0
Aug 23, 2011 EFL Cup
Brighton vs Sunderland
1:0
Jul 21, 2010 Club Friendly
Brighton vs Sunderland
1:1
Feb 19, 2005 Championship
Brighton vs Sunderland
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Brighton Compare

Top Goalscorer Minteh Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 86 / 100
Brighton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland Brighton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Brighton conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sunderland stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Brighton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Brighton
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
18 Jul
York City
1 : 5
Sunderland
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1
Chelsea
17 May
Everton
1 : 3
Sunderland
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0
Manchester United
Page 1 of 6

Brighton

(Away)
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3
Manchester United
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0
Wolves
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1
Brighton
21 Apr
Brighton
3 : 0
Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)